Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Past performance is not indicative of future results

I have this theory that the New England Chiefs faked Cassel's injury. I also think maybe they sandbagged the whole pre-season by playing even worse than they really are. Plus, I think they are desperately working on a plan to steal signals or otherwise cheat against Baltimore. For those reasons, I am taking the 13 points and going with the Chiefs on Sunday.

After doing a great deal of analysis (really), I have three slam dunk games in college football this week: Army -2 over Duke, UAB -11 over SMU, and TCU -11 over Virginia. Obviously, these aren't sexy games in terms of fan appeal, but they have excellent gambling potential. Bet heavily on all three individually -- and play the three-team parlay, if you want. Easy money.

As for the Big 12 games, I'm taking...

Iowa State +7 over Iowa. (Iowa always starts out really bad and then gets really good at the end of the season.)

Texas -33 over Wyoming.

Missouri -18 over Bowling Green. (Go Gabbert!)

KU -11 over UTEP. (UTEP got beat at home by Buffalo last week.)

Houston +15 over Oklahoma State. (OSU might have a let down after last week, and Houston is really good.)

Nebraska -23 over Arkansas State. (Seems like the spread should be higher.)

Louisiana Lafayette +7 over Kansas State. (The game is in La. KSU sucks.)

P.S. Not sure what the line is on the Colorado game, but I'd hate to be betting on the Buffaloes at this point.

P.P.S. If the over/under on Royals losses is 100 -- take the over!

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